Singapore’s Second National Climate Change Study – Climate Projections to 2100
Science Report

The Science Report of Singapore’s Second National Climate Change Study can be downloaded from the following links. The report consists of 10 main chapters. Each of the chapters describing scientific results also has an appendix, where additional graphical material can be found. There are also 3 Supplementary Reports. The reports should be cited as:

Charline Marzin¹, Raizan Rahmat², Dan Bernie¹, Lucy Bricheno³, Erasmo Buonomo¹, Daley Calvert¹, Heather Cannaby³, Steven Chan⁵, Mohar Chattopadhyay⁴, Wee-Kiong Cheong², Muhammad Eeqmal Hassim², Laila Gohar¹, Nicola Golding¹, Chris Gordon², Jonathan Gregory¹, David Hein¹, Adrian Hines¹, Tom Howard¹, Tamara Janes¹, Richard Jones¹, Elisabeth Kendon¹, Justin Krijnen¹, Shao-Yi Lee², See-Yee Lim², Chun Fung Lo², Jason Lowe¹, Gill Martin¹, Charline Marzin¹, Kirsty McBeath¹, Kathleen McInnes⁴, Carol McSweeney¹, Matthew Mizielinski¹, James Murphy¹, Claire O’Neill¹, Matthew Palmer¹, Grace Redmond¹, Chris Roberts¹, Sandeep Sahany², Michael Sanderson¹, Claire Scannel¹, David Sexton¹, Felicia Shaw², Julia Slingo¹, Xiangming Sun², Jonathan Tinker¹, Simon Tucker¹, Chang Wang¹, Stuart Webster¹, Simon Wilson¹, Richard Wood¹, Sijin Zhang², 2015: Singapore’s Second National Climate Change Study – Phase 1.
[Web link: https://ccrs.weather.gov.sg/publications-second-National-Climate-Change-Study-Science-Reports]

1 – Met Office, Exeter, UK
2 – Centre for Climate Research Singapore, Singapore
3 – National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, UK
4 – CSIRO, Australia
5 – Newcastle University, Newcastle, UK

Chapters 1-10

Chapter 1: Executive Summary
Chapter 2: Introduction
Chapter 3: Sub-selection of CMIP5 GCMs for Downscaling over Singapore
Chapter 4: Dynamical Downscaling – Model Evaluation
Chapter 5: Climate Change Projections
Chapter 6: Convective-Scale Modelling
Chapter 7: Probabilistic Projections and Wider Uncertainty
Chapter 8: Changes in Time Mean Sea Level
Chapter 9: Extreme Sea Level Projections
Chapter 10: Long Term Projections of Sea Level, Temperature and Rainfall Change

Appendixes

Appendix to Chapter 3: Sub-Selection of CMIP5 GCMs for Downscaling over Singapore
Appendix to Chapter 4: Dynamical Downscaling – Model Evaluation
Appendix to Chapter 5: Climate Change Projections
Appendix to Chapter 6: Convective-Scale Modelling
Appendix to Chapter 7: Probabilistic Projections and Wider Uncertainty
Appendix to Chapter 8: Changes in Time Mean Sea Level
Appendix to Chapter 9: Extreme Sea Level Projections
Appendix to Chapter 10: Long Term Projections of Sea Level, Temperature and Rainfall Change

Supplementary Reports

Supplementary Report 1: 12km Dynamical Downscaling Document
Supplementary Report 2: Assessment of Empirical Statistical Downscaling for Climate Change Studies over Singapore
Supplementary Report 3: Key Factors for Sea Level Rise in the Singapore Region